Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?

ResolutionResolved NO

YES payout0¢

NO payout100¢

VenuePolymarket

Realized · held to resolution−100%$100 paper stake

Polymarket70¢ → 0¢

Our position · YES70¢ → 0¢

Signal endedSep 9

Forecast updated

Sep 6 forecast

Independent reports repeatedly place the lowest foldable iPhone above $2,100 and expect a September debut, so an initial US price at or above $2,100 is likely.

The evidence is supportive but not unanimous: several recent estimates put the starting price comfortably above $2,100, while others land near or just below the cutoff. Repeated reports of an imminent launch reduce the risk that no qualifying price is announced. The largest remaining uncertainties are Apple’s unconfirmed plans and whether a cheaper base configuration undercuts the higher estimates.

Points to YES

A detailed institutional estimate places the starting price well above the threshold.
On September 4, Morgan Stanley expected a $2,399 starting price for a 512GB foldable iPhone configuration.
Two recent estimates place the lowest foldable iPhone comfortably above $2,100.
On September 1, reported estimates included a $2,320 price for a 256GB model and a broader expected range of $2,300 to $2,500.
Multiple reports expect the foldable iPhone to appear at Apple’s imminent launch.
On September 4, Bloomberg expected Apple’s following-week product launch to introduce foldable devices.

Points to NO

A plausible pricing comparison produces a starting price below the threshold.
On September 5, PhoneArena suggested a starting price of about $1,999 if the device carries an 80% premium over the iPhone 17 Pro.
Apple has not officially confirmed either the foldable device or its price.
As of September 5, Apple had confirmed its September 9 event but had not confirmed a foldable iPhone or any price.

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