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Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?

Realized · held to resolution100%$100 paper stake
Polymarket72¢
Our position · YES72¢
Signal endedSep 4
Forecast updatedSep 1

Later reports indicate the launch surge slowed substantially, so a sub-20-million first-week total is likely with meaningful uncertainty.

The video opened explosively, with reports placing it above 14 million views within two days and above 15.6 million by Monday morning, indicating that growth slowed after the initial surge. An August 28 channel-page capture displaying 16.63 million views conflicts with some later reporting and leaves a real risk of crossing the threshold. Age restriction and earlier availability through Netflix and reaction channels also gave viewers alternatives to Rockstar’s official upload. A sub-20-million official count after 168 hours is likely with meaningful uncertainty.

Points to YES
Points to NO

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