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Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Realized · 7-day hold+34%$100 paper stake
Polymarket63¢ 85¢
Our position · YES63¢ 85¢
Signal endedAug 14
Forecast updatedAug 17
Aug 7 forecast

Apple is likely to remain the world’s second-largest company by market cap on August 31, with Alphabet trailing by over $200 billion as of August 6 and near-term momentum favoring Apple.

As of August 6, credible quote tables and charts place Apple around $4.54–4.57 trillion, Alphabet near $4.32–4.33 trillion, and Nvidia near $5.4 trillion, making Apple clearly second. Earlier August 3–5 reports conflicted, with some listing Alphabet second, but by August 5–6 the consensus shifted back to Apple second. Apple’s late-July drop after weak guidance had briefly compressed its valuation, yet it still remains well above Alphabet. With 24 days to resolution and no projection data suggesting Alphabet will overtake, the path favors Apple retaining second place, though tech volatility means a large Alphabet rally or Apple selloff could change the ranking.

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