ReportsQuotient
All reportsRegulation · Prediction MarketsRead the report →
What US regulation would mean for prediction markets
We read all 879 active Polymarket geopolitics markets against the CFTC's proposed rule. Most would be listable. Most of the volume would not.
Finding
July 1, 2026$331M of volume would be hard to list
Expert Index · IranRead the report →
Whose Iran Calls Held Up?
Quotient evaluated 541 predictions from 126 experts to see who added real signal before the outcome was known.
Finding
June 15, 2026Credentials did not predict signal