Jul 14Win0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit20¢→100¢Paper return+400%
Sep 3WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 3, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry52%Entry → Exit24¢→100¢Paper return+316.7%
Oct 3WinPatriots vs. BillsQ → PatriotsHistorical replayNFLQ at entry55%Entry → Exit26¢→100¢Paper return+284.6%
Jul 14WinWill Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry60%Entry → Exit27¢→100¢Paper return+270.4%
Sep 4WinWill Oscar Isaac win Movie/Limited Actor at the Emmy Awards?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry55%Entry → Exit28¢→100¢Paper return+257.1%
Aug 31WinWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry60%Entry → Exit28¢→100¢Paper return+257.1%
Jul 7WinUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry65%Entry → Exit29¢→100¢Paper return+244.8%
Sep 3WinBitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry60%Entry → Exit30¢→100¢Paper return+233.3%
Sep 23WinWill "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry52%Entry → Exit36¢→100¢Paper return+177.8%
Aug 21WinUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry51%Entry → Exit36¢→100¢Paper return+177.8%
Jul 12WinWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry76%Entry → Exit36¢→100¢Paper return+177.8%
Sep 26WinKentucky vs. South CarolinaQ → KentuckyHistorical replayCollege footballQ at entry53%Entry → Exit37¢→100¢Paper return+170.3%
Sep 6WinWill Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry66%Entry → Exit38¢→100¢Paper return+163.2%
Aug 28WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 82.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 28, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry69%Entry → Exit38¢→100¢Paper return+163.2%
Sep 3WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 92.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 3, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry82%Entry → Exit39¢→100¢Paper return+156.4%
Sep 27WinBengals vs. SteelersQ → SteelersHistorical replayNFLQ at entry53%Entry → Exit40¢→100¢Paper return+150%
Sep 26WinFlorida vs. MissouriQ → MissouriHistorical replayCollege footballQ at entry60%Entry → Exit40¢→100¢Paper return+150%
Aug 7WinUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry52%Entry → Exit40¢→100¢Paper return+150%
Jul 16WinWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry79%Entry → Exit40¢→100¢Paper return+150%
Jul 12WinWill there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry72%Entry → Exit40¢→100¢Paper return+150%
Oct 2WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.6% for the year ending in September 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry65%Entry → Exit42¢→100¢Paper return+138.1%
Sep 7WinEthereum price at Sep 7, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry65%Entry → Exit42¢→100¢Paper return+138.1%
Aug 28WinWill Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry68%Entry → Exit42¢→100¢Paper return+138.1%
Jul 24WinWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry63%Entry → Exit42¢→100¢Paper return+138.1%
Jul 14WinWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry58%Entry → Exit42¢→100¢Paper return+138.1%
Oct 16WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 95.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry61%Entry → Exit43¢→100¢Paper return+132.6%
Sep 3WinBitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry52%Entry → Exit43¢→100¢Paper return+132.6%
Aug 11WinWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry69%Entry → Exit43¢→100¢Paper return+132.6%
Sep 4WinWill BTC trimmed mean be below $75000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry59%Entry → Exit43¢→100¢Paper return+132.6%
Sep 3WinWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry56%Entry → Exit44¢→100¢Paper return+127.3%
Jul 14WinUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry74%Entry → Exit44¢→100¢Paper return+127.3%
Jul 12WinIsrael military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry55%Entry → Exit44¢→100¢Paper return+127.3%
Sep 29WinVirginia vs. Florida StateQ → Florida St.Historical replayCollege footballQ at entry52%Entry → Exit45¢→100¢Paper return+122.2%
Sep 26WinPanthers vs. BrownsQ → BrownsHistorical replayNFLQ at entry55%Entry → Exit45¢→100¢Paper return+122.2%
Sep 9WinBitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry60%Entry → Exit45¢→100¢Paper return+122.2%
Sep 8WinEthereum price at Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry55%Entry → Exit45¢→100¢Paper return+122.2%
Sep 7WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 92.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 8, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry58%Entry → Exit45¢→100¢Paper return+122.2%
Sep 27WinJaguars vs. BengalsQ → JaguarsHistorical replayNFLQ at entry72%Entry → Exit46¢→100¢Paper return+117.4%
Sep 27WinDiamondbacks vs. PadresQ → San Diego PadresHistorical replayMLBQ at entry56%Entry → Exit46¢→100¢Paper return+117.4%
Sep 16WinWill SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry63%Entry → Exit46¢→100¢Paper return+117.4%
Oct 21WinWill Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry53%Entry → Exit46¢→100¢Paper return+117.4%
Sep 29WinArnaldi vs. SakamotoQ → ArnaldiHistorical replayATPQ at entry52%Entry → Exit46¢→100¢Paper return+117.4%
Sep 26WinRams vs. BroncosQ → BroncosHistorical replayNFLQ at entry57%Entry → Exit46¢→100¢Paper return+117.4%
Oct 7WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 7, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry63%Entry → Exit47¢→100¢Paper return+112.8%
Oct 5WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 5, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry62%Entry → Exit47¢→100¢Paper return+112.8%
Sep 30WinFresno State vs. Washington StateQ → Fresno St.Historical replayCollege footballQ at entry53%Entry → Exit47¢→100¢Paper return+112.8%
Sep 27WinWest Virginia vs. Iowa StateQ → Iowa St.Historical replayCollege footballQ at entry63%Entry → Exit47¢→100¢Paper return+112.8%
Sep 27WinNorth Texas vs. TulsaQ → North TexasHistorical replayCollege footballQ at entry57%Entry → Exit47¢→100¢Paper return+112.8%
Sep 23WinNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry55%Entry → Exit47¢→100¢Paper return+112.8%
Sep 9WinWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of September 7 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry66%Entry → Exit47¢→100¢Paper return+112.8%
Oct 21WinRangers vs. Maple LeafsQ → Maple LeafsNHLQ at entry51%Entry → Exit48¢→100¢Paper return+108.3%
Oct 15WinWill there be more than 190 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry64%Entry → Exit48¢→100¢Paper return+108.3%
Sep 30WinWill Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry58%Entry → Exit48¢→100¢Paper return+108.3%
Sep 4WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 90.00 and 90.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry74%Entry → Exit48¢→100¢Paper return+108.3%
Sep 4WinEthereum price at Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry87%Entry → Exit48¢→100¢Paper return+108.3%
Sep 3WinBitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry60%Entry → Exit48¢→100¢Paper return+108.3%
Aug 9WinWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $330 end of August?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry65%Entry → Exit48¢→100¢Paper return+108.3%
Oct 7WinBrewers vs. PadresQ → Milwaukee BrewersMLBQ at entry67%Entry → Exit49¢→100¢Paper return+104.1%
Sep 3WinBitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry71%Entry → Exit49¢→100¢Paper return+104.1%
Aug 31WinBitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry76%Entry → Exit49¢→100¢Paper return+104.1%
Aug 31WinBitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry61%Entry → Exit49¢→100¢Paper return+104.1%
Oct 24WinDream vs. ValkyriesQ → Golden State ValkyriesWNBAQ at entry55%Entry → Exit50¢→100¢Paper return+100%
Oct 19WinParis curfew by October 21?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry61%Entry → Exit50¢→100¢Paper return+100%
Sep 27WinMets vs. NationalsQ → WashingtonHistorical replayMLBQ at entry62%Entry → Exit50¢→100¢Paper return+100%
Sep 9WinWill the brent crude oil close price be above 99.50 USD/Bbl on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry79%Entry → Exit50¢→100¢Paper return+100%
Sep 4WinWill BTC trimmed mean be above $85000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry65%Entry → Exit50¢→100¢Paper return+100%
Jul 18WinIran full airspace closure by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry63%Entry → Exit50¢→100¢Paper return+100%
Jul 6WinWill Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry79%Entry → Exit50¢→100¢Paper return+100%
Jul 14WinWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry70%Entry → Exit51¢→100¢Paper return+96.1%
Oct 8WinWill CPI rise more than 0.5% in September 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry67%Entry → Exit52¢→100¢Paper return+92.3%
Oct 6WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 88.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 6, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry75%Entry → Exit52¢→100¢Paper return+92.3%
Sep 30WinPhillies vs. BravesQ → PhiladelphiaHistorical replayMLBQ at entry61%Entry → Exit52¢→100¢Paper return+92.3%
Sep 27WinPirates vs. TigersQ → Pittsburgh PiratesHistorical replayMLBQ at entry60%Entry → Exit52¢→100¢Paper return+92.3%
Sep 9WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 96.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry85%Entry → Exit52¢→100¢Paper return+92.3%
Sep 8WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 92.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 8, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry62%Entry → Exit52¢→100¢Paper return+92.3%
Sep 7WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry61%Entry → Exit52¢→100¢Paper return+92.3%
Aug 26WinBitcoin price on Aug 27, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry74%Entry → Exit52¢→100¢Paper return+92.3%
Sep 29WinAces vs. FeverQ → IndianaHistorical replayWNBAQ at entry65%Entry → Exit53¢→100¢Paper return+88.7%
Sep 27WinBraves vs. MarlinsQ → Miami MarlinsHistorical replayMLBQ at entry61%Entry → Exit53¢→100¢Paper return+88.7%
Jun 30WinGPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry78%Entry → Exit53¢→100¢Paper return+88.7%
Oct 7WinThe Social Reckoning Rotten Tomatoes score?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry69%Entry → Exit54¢→100¢Paper return+85.2%
Sep 12WinUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben SheltonQ → NOPolymarketQ at entry78%Entry → Exit54¢→100¢Paper return+85.2%
Aug 27WinEthereum price at Aug 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry88%Entry → Exit54¢→100¢Paper return+85.2%
Aug 26WinBitcoin price on Aug 26, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit54¢→100¢Paper return+85.2%
Jul 16WinUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit54¢→100¢Paper return+85.2%
Jul 15WinUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry76%Entry → Exit54¢→100¢Paper return+85.2%
Sep 30WinHurricanes vs. FlyersQ → HurricanesHistorical replayNHLQ at entry62%Entry → Exit55¢→100¢Paper return+81.8%
Sep 27WinRays vs. PhilliesQ → Philadelphia PhilliesHistorical replayMLBQ at entry62%Entry → Exit55¢→100¢Paper return+81.8%
Sep 6WinEthereum price at Sep 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry72%Entry → Exit55¢→100¢Paper return+81.8%
Sep 3WinWill the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit55¢→100¢Paper return+81.8%
Sep 1WinWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry75%Entry → Exit55¢→100¢Paper return+81.8%
Aug 31WinBitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry70%Entry → Exit55¢→100¢Paper return+81.8%
Aug 30WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry64%Entry → Exit55¢→100¢Paper return+81.8%
Oct 11WinGemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry66%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Oct 1WinYankees vs. RaysQ → Tampa BayHistorical replayMLBQ at entry63%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Sep 30WinRed Sox vs. YankeesQ → New York YHistorical replayMLBQ at entry64%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Sep 26WinTitans vs. GiantsQ → GiantsHistorical replayNFLQ at entry64%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Sep 8WinWill the natural gas close price be above 2.910 USD/MMBtu on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry68%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Sep 7WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 8, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry65%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Sep 6WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry74%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Sep 4WinEthereum price at Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry68%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Sep 2WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 3, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry82%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Aug 22WinWill Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Aug 1WinWill Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry70%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Jul 6WinWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry69%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Jun 29WinWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry74%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Sep 30WinWill the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be above 8.5 on Sep 30, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry81%Entry → Exit57¢→100¢Paper return+75.4%
Oct 7WinDodgers vs. BravesQ → Los Angeles DodgersMLBQ at entry63%Entry → Exit57¢→100¢Paper return+75.4%
Sep 3WinWill Centre Party (C) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry73%Entry → Exit58¢→100¢Paper return+72.4%
Aug 26WinEthereum price at Aug 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry69%Entry → Exit58¢→100¢Paper return+72.4%
Sep 17WinWill AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit58¢→100¢Paper return+72.4%
Sep 9WinBitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry70%Entry → Exit58¢→100¢Paper return+72.4%
Jul 29WinU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit58¢→100¢Paper return+72.4%
Jul 12WinIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit58¢→100¢Paper return+72.4%
Oct 21WinWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry65%Entry → Exit59¢→100¢Paper return+69.5%
Oct 10WinUtah Tech vs. Portland StateQ → Portland StateCollege footballQ at entry66%Entry → Exit59¢→100¢Paper return+69.5%
Oct 2WinDigger Rotten Tomatoes score?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry79%Entry → Exit59¢→100¢Paper return+69.5%
Sep 29WinFlyers vs. DevilsQ → DevilsHistorical replayNHLQ at entry71%Entry → Exit59¢→100¢Paper return+69.5%
Sep 28WinDream vs. MysticsQ → AtlantaHistorical replayWNBAQ at entry73%Entry → Exit59¢→100¢Paper return+69.5%
Sep 1WinEthereum price at Sep 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry69%Entry → Exit59¢→100¢Paper return+69.5%
Jun 29WinStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry76%Entry → Exit59¢→100¢Paper return+69.5%
Oct 8WinArizona vs. West VirginiaQ → ArizonaCollege footballQ at entry68%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Oct 1WinNavy vs. Air ForceQ → Air ForceHistorical replayCollege footballQ at entry65%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Sep 26WinPatriots vs. JaguarsQ → JaguarsHistorical replayNFLQ at entry71%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Sep 9WinBitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry71%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Sep 3WinWill the Bank of Russia Maintain current rate at the September Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry78%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Sep 1WinWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry74%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Aug 31WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 85.49 USD/Bbl on Aug 31, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry70%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Aug 31WinBitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry85%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Aug 31WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 86.49 USD/Bbl on Aug 31, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry70%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Aug 30WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.49 USD/Bbl on Aug 31, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry73%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Aug 28WinWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry78%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Aug 28WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 82.49 USD/Bbl on Aug 28, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry82%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Aug 24WinWill the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Jul 23WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Jul 17WinWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry76%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Sep 30WinKraken vs. OilersQ → OilersHistorical replayNHLQ at entry71%Entry → Exit61¢→100¢Paper return+63.9%
Sep 27WinAngels vs. MarinersQ → Seattle MarinersHistorical replayMLBQ at entry68%Entry → Exit61¢→100¢Paper return+63.9%
Sep 4WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry75%Entry → Exit61¢→100¢Paper return+63.9%
Aug 25WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 80.49 USD/Bbl on Aug 26, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry89%Entry → Exit61¢→100¢Paper return+63.9%
Sep 5WinWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry74%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Sep 4WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry76%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Sep 3WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry73%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Sep 3WinBitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry72%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Sep 1WinBitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry73%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Aug 31WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 85.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 1, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry71%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Aug 19WinRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Jul 26WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry73%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Jul 19WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Jul 8WinWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry77%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Oct 16WinWill Tyler Cameron and their partner be eliminated from Dancing with the Stars Season 35 before Oct 21, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry74%Entry → Exit63¢→100¢Paper return+58.7%
Oct 13WinSense and Sensibility Rotten Tomatoes score?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry75%Entry → Exit63¢→100¢Paper return+58.7%
Sep 10WinWill CPI rise more than 0.3% in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry87%Entry → Exit63¢→100¢Paper return+58.7%
Sep 6WinBitcoin price on Sep 6, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry78%Entry → Exit63¢→100¢Paper return+58.7%
Aug 31WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 1, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry79%Entry → Exit63¢→100¢Paper return+58.7%
Aug 7WinWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit63¢→100¢Paper return+58.7%
Oct 20WinWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry71%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Oct 1WinBlues vs. AvalancheQ → AvalancheHistorical replayNHLQ at entry82%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Sep 30WinKings vs. AvalancheQ → ColoradoHistorical replayNHLQ at entry78%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Sep 27WinColts vs. CommandersQ → ColtsHistorical replayNFLQ at entry83%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Sep 26WinAlabama vs. Mississippi StateQ → AlabamaHistorical replayCollege footballQ at entry80%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Sep 26WinUMass vs. Sacramento StateQ → UMassHistorical replayCollege footballQ at entry71%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Sep 8WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry83%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Sep 4WinWill BTC trimmed mean be below $72500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry75%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Aug 31WinWill above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry82%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Aug 31WinWill Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry79%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Aug 31WinBitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry75%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Aug 6WinWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Jul 15WinWill GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Jul 15WinUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Jul 13WinIran successfully targets shipping on July 13?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry74%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Oct 15WinWill there be more than 300 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry76%Entry → Exit65¢→100¢Paper return+53.8%
Sep 30WinWill Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit65¢→100¢Paper return+53.8%
Aug 28WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry75%Entry → Exit65¢→100¢Paper return+53.8%
Aug 26WinWill BTC trimmed mean be above $82500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry75%Entry → Exit65¢→100¢Paper return+53.8%
Aug 26WinWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry73%Entry → Exit65¢→100¢Paper return+53.8%
Sep 9WinEthereum price at Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry78%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Sep 8WinEthereum price at Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry77%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Sep 6WinPrimetime Rotten Tomatoes score?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry77%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Sep 1WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 87.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 1, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry82%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Aug 29WinBitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry78%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Aug 26WinBitcoin price on Aug 26, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry80%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Aug 1WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Jul 12WinRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit67¢→100¢Paper return+49.3%
Sep 9WinWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry75%Entry → Exit67¢→100¢Paper return+49.3%
Aug 29WinWill Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit67¢→100¢Paper return+49.3%
Aug 31WinWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Aug 30WinBitcoin price on Aug 30, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry82%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Jul 20WinIsrael closes its airspace by August 15?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry78%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Jul 12WinWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Jul 12WinWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Jul 10WinStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Jul 8WinWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Oct 2WinWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Sep 24WinSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Sep 6WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 8, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry79%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Sep 4WinWill BTC trimmed mean be above $82500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Sep 3WinBitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry78%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Sep 3WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry79%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Aug 26WinBitcoin price on Aug 26, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry95%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Aug 24WinWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry78%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Aug 10WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry81%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Sep 8WinWill Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit69¢→100¢Paper return+44.9%
Oct 1WinWill Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry79%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Sep 30WinWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in September?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry83%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Sep 3WinBitcoin price on Sep 3, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry81%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Sep 3WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 3, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Sep 3WinWill AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Sep 2WinWill average **gas prices** be above $4.1400?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry80%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 30WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry81%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 28WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 28WinWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 28WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry79%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 7WinWill Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Jul 14WinIran full airspace closure by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Sep 30WinWill Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry81%Entry → Exit71¢→100¢Paper return+40.8%
Sep 8WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit71¢→100¢Paper return+40.8%
Sep 1WinEthereum price at Sep 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry91%Entry → Exit71¢→100¢Paper return+40.8%
Aug 26WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 80.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 27, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry89%Entry → Exit71¢→100¢Paper return+40.8%
Sep 19WinUS x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Sep 17WinWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Sep 9WinBitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry89%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Sep 8WinBitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Sep 8WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 8, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry83%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Sep 4WinWill CPI rise more than 0.2% in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry92%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Sep 4WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Sep 3WinWill My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry81%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Sep 3WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 3, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry84%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 31WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 31, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry84%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 30WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 31, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 29WinWill AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 25WinBitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry85%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 25WinBitcoin price on Aug 25, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry82%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Jul 30WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Sep 12WinWill “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit73¢→100¢Paper return+37%
Sep 3WinWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry81%Entry → Exit73¢→100¢Paper return+37%
Sep 14WinWill there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Sep 9WinBitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry85%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Sep 9WinWill Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Sep 6WinBitcoin price on Sep 6, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Sep 4WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry84%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Sep 1WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 3, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 31WinWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in August?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry87%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 31WinBitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry89%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 31WinBitcoin price on Sep 4, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry89%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 30WinWill Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 27WinUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 6WinWill the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Jul 19WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Jul 14WinWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 31WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 1, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit75¢→100¢Paper return+33.3%
Aug 27WinBitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry90%Entry → Exit75¢→100¢Paper return+33.3%
Sep 13WinWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 9WinEthereum price at Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 9WinBitcoin price on Sep 9, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 9WinBitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 9WinBitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry87%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 9WinWill Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for August 2026 be above 334.750?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry91%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 7WinBitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 7WinBitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry87%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 1WinBitcoin price on Sep 1, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry87%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 1WinGemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Aug 30WinBitcoin price on Aug 31, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Aug 28WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Aug 25WinBitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry89%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Jul 19WinIran full airspace closure by July 24?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 30WinUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit77¢→100¢Paper return+29.9%
Sep 8WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry87%Entry → Exit77¢→100¢Paper return+29.9%
Sep 1WinWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit77¢→100¢Paper return+29.9%
Sep 1WinWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in August?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit77¢→100¢Paper return+29.9%
Sep 26WinWill the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Sep 21WinWill the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Sep 9WinWill CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Sep 8WinBitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry89%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Sep 8WinBitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Aug 31WinWill Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Aug 28WinWill Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Aug 20WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Jul 14WinWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Jul 7WinStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Sep 9WinWill Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit79¢→100¢Paper return+26.6%
Aug 30WinWill the gold close price be above 4411.99 USD/t.oz on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry93%Entry → Exit79¢→100¢Paper return+26.6%
Aug 29WinBitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry89%Entry → Exit79¢→100¢Paper return+26.6%
Aug 28WinWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit79¢→100¢Paper return+26.6%
Aug 27WinWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit79¢→100¢Paper return+26.6%
Jul 29WinIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit79¢→100¢Paper return+26.6%
Jul 11WinWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit79¢→100¢Paper return+26.6%
Jul 2WinWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit79¢→100¢Paper return+26.6%
Sep 28WinWill Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Sep 19WinUS x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Sep 8WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry91%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Sep 7WinWill SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Sep 7WinIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Aug 29WinBitcoin price on Aug 29, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry90%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Aug 28WinWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Aug 27WinUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Aug 22WinWill Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Aug 17WinWill Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Jul 13WinMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Sep 25WinUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit81¢→100¢Paper return+23.5%
Aug 25WinBitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry92%Entry → Exit81¢→100¢Paper return+23.5%
Sep 26WinPakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Sep 18WinSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Sep 7WinWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Sep 6WinWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Sep 4WinEthereum price at Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry91%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Sep 4WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry93%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Sep 3WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 88.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 3, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry92%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Sep 3WinWill David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Sep 1WinWill Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 31WinIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry96%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Jul 10WinUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Oct 1WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in September 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry93%Entry → Exit83¢→100¢Paper return+20.5%
Sep 25WinWill Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit83¢→100¢Paper return+20.5%
Sep 23WinUS x China tariff agreement by October 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit83¢→100¢Paper return+20.5%
Sep 13WinWill Rhea Seehorn win Drama Actress at the Emmy Awards?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry97%Entry → Exit83¢→100¢Paper return+20.5%
Sep 4WinWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit83¢→100¢Paper return+20.5%
Sep 21WinWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Sep 21WinWill the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Sep 6WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 8, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry93%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Sep 3WinWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Sep 1WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry92%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Sep 1WinWill above -25000 jobs be added in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry93%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Aug 31WinIran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Aug 31WinIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry98%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Aug 30WinWill Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Aug 27WinUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry98%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Aug 26WinWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Aug 6WinWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Jul 18WinIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Sep 10WinWill Narodowy Bank Polski maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Council meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry96%Entry → Exit85¢→100¢Paper return+17.6%
Sep 1WinWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry95%Entry → Exit86¢→100¢Paper return+16.3%
Jul 17WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry99%Entry → Exit86¢→100¢Paper return+16.3%
Oct 24LossSasnovich vs. RakhimovaQ → Kamilla RakhimovaWTAQ at entry50%Entry → Exit46¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 23LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 102.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 23, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry68%Entry → Exit51¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 21LossKlara and the Sun Rotten Tomatoes score?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry70%Entry → Exit57¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 21LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 98.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 21, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry65%Entry → Exit42¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 20LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 97.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 20, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry79%Entry → Exit62¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 20LossWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry72%Entry → Exit61¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 16LossStreet Fighter Rotten Tomatoes score?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry59%Entry → Exit45¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 15LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 94.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 15, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry65%Entry → Exit46¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 15LossBrewers vs. DodgersQ → Los Angeles DodgersMLBQ at entry75%Entry → Exit59¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 14LossWhalefall Rotten Tomatoes score?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit49¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 14LossClayface Rotten Tomatoes score?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry67%Entry → Exit54¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 13LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 92.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 13, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry66%Entry → Exit46¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 11LossDelaware vs. Middle TennesseeQ → DelawareCollege footballQ at entry64%Entry → Exit57¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 9LossWill CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in September?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry80%Entry → Exit65¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 9LossDodgers vs. BrewersQ → Los Angeles DodgersMLBQ at entry66%Entry → Exit51¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 9LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 9, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry69%Entry → Exit51¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 8LossMinnesota vs. PurdueQ → MinnesotaCollege footballQ at entry63%Entry → Exit55¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 7LossWill the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.4% for the year ending in September 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry61%Entry → Exit47¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 7LossNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry62%Entry → Exit48¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 5LossWill Jackson Olson and their partner be eliminated from Dancing with the Stars Season 35 before Oct 7, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry68%Entry → Exit49¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 3LossWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry81%Entry → Exit64¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 1LossWill above 40000 jobs be added in September 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry87%Entry → Exit77¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 1LossWill above 70000 jobs be added in September 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry77%Entry → Exit64¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 1LossSteelers vs. BrownsQ → PIT SteelersHistorical replayNFLQ at entry66%Entry → Exit58¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 1LossJacquet vs. DarderiQ → DarderiHistorical replayATPQ at entry65%Entry → Exit56¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 1LossWill above 50000 jobs be added in September 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry83%Entry → Exit72¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 1LossPhillies vs. BravesQ → Philadelphia PhilliesHistorical replayMLBQ at entry64%Entry → Exit51¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 30LossFever vs. AcesQ → Indiana FeverHistorical replayWNBAQ at entry53%Entry → Exit39¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 30LossCanadiens vs. PenguinsQ → CanadiensHistorical replayNHLQ at entry58%Entry → Exit51¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 30LossIsrael Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry83%Entry → Exit74¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 29LossTrump renames AI by October 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry57%Entry → Exit20¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 29LossDucks vs. Golden KnightsQ → Golden KnightsHistorical replayNHLQ at entry68%Entry → Exit60¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 29LossBlues vs. StarsQ → StarsHistorical replayNHLQ at entry75%Entry → Exit64¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 29LossSafiullin vs. CobolliQ → CobolliHistorical replayATPQ at entry65%Entry → Exit56¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 29LossCubs vs. PadresQ → Chicago CHistorical replayMLBQ at entry58%Entry → Exit46¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 29LossWhite Sox vs. AstrosQ → HoustonHistorical replayMLBQ at entry66%Entry → Exit54¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 28LossPhillies vs. BravesQ → PhiladelphiaHistorical replayMLBQ at entry53%Entry → Exit37¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 28LossLions vs. PanthersQ → DET LionsHistorical replayNFLQ at entry65%Entry → Exit60¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 28LossValkyries vs. WingsQ → Golden StateHistorical replayWNBAQ at entry72%Entry → Exit61¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 28LossPackers vs. BuccaneersQ → BuccaneersHistorical replayNFLQ at entry56%Entry → Exit45¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 27LossCubs vs. PadresQ → Chicago CHistorical replayMLBQ at entry70%Entry → Exit46¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 27LossEastern Michigan vs. UMassQ → UMassHistorical replayCollege footballQ at entry70%Entry → Exit63¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 27LossVikings vs. BuccaneersQ → BuccaneersHistorical replayNFLQ at entry64%Entry → Exit48¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 26LossRaiders vs. SaintsQ → SaintsHistorical replayNFLQ at entry70%Entry → Exit62¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 26LossBrooksby vs. BasilashviliQ → Jenson BrooksbyHistorical replayATPQ at entry59%Entry → Exit53¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 26LossMarozsan vs. JacquetQ → Fabian MarozsanHistorical replayATPQ at entry61%Entry → Exit54¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 23LossWill Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry68%Entry → Exit60¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 23LossTrump renames AI by September 30?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit68¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 22LossWill OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit71¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 21LossWill Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit80¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 21LossWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry65%Entry → Exit52¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 20LossWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit69¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 20LossPrimetime Rotten Tomatoes score?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry69%Entry → Exit56¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 20LossWill voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit70¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 19LossWill United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry50%Entry → Exit40¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 19LossTrump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry55%Entry → Exit39¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 19LossWill Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry71%Entry → Exit58¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 18LossWill Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry77%Entry → Exit63¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 18LossWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry76%Entry → Exit29¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 17LossWill Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit81¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 15LossSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry58%Entry → Exit45¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 14LossWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit76¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 14LossHow many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry82%Entry → Exit70¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 13LossWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit79¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 12LossUS Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena RybakinaQ → YESPolymarketQ at entry77%Entry → Exit56¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 10LossBitcoin price on Sep 10, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry76%Entry → Exit66¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 10LossBitcoin price on Sep 10, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry61%Entry → Exit50¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 9LossPrimetime Rotten Tomatoes score?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry82%Entry → Exit62¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 9LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 95.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry58%Entry → Exit26¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 9LossEthereum price at Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry70%Entry → Exit46¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 9LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 95.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry63%Entry → Exit40¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 9LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 94.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry70%Entry → Exit60¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 8LossWill the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit78¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 8LossSweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry53%Entry → Exit40¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 8LossWill Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry55%Entry → Exit38¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 8LossWill the Anaheim Angels naming bill become law?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry78%Entry → Exit42¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 6LossWill the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit86¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 6LossWill the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit70¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 4LossWill the average U.S. price of a Dunkin' medium cold brew for September 2026 be at least $4.46?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry90%Entry → Exit80¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 4LossEthereum price at Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry76%Entry → Exit18¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 3LossEthereum price at Sep 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry63%Entry → Exit36¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 3LossWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry75%Entry → Exit64¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 3LossEthereum price at Sep 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry79%Entry → Exit62¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 3LossWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry72%Entry → Exit62¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 3LossWill Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry64%Entry → Exit53¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 3LossWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit76¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 3LossOnslaught Rotten Tomatoes score?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry81%Entry → Exit70¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 3LossWill the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit75¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 2LossWill the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit78¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 2LossWill SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry68%Entry → Exit56¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 2LossWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit82¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 2LossWill OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit81¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 1LossWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry67%Entry → Exit48¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 1LossEthereum price at Sep 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry58%Entry → Exit43¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 1LossWill Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry61%Entry → Exit50¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 1LossWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 31 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry72%Entry → Exit63¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 31LossWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry67%Entry → Exit57¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 31LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 85.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 31, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry61%Entry → Exit38¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 31LossEthereum price at Aug 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry72%Entry → Exit52¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 31LossWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry59%Entry → Exit40¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 30LossNATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit72¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 30LossEthereum price at Aug 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry85%Entry → Exit59¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 29LossWill Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit71¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 29LossWill Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit72¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 29LossEthereum price at Aug 29, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry77%Entry → Exit59¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 29LossNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry63%Entry → Exit54¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 28LossWill CZ post 20-39 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit66¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 28LossWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry81%Entry → Exit70¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 28LossWill Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry66%Entry → Exit57¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 28LossWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry76%Entry → Exit52¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 27LossWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry62%Entry → Exit39¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 27LossWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry71%Entry → Exit50¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 27LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 82.49 USD/Bbl on Aug 27, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry63%Entry → Exit29¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 27LossIcelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry78%Entry → Exit53¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 27LossIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry67%Entry → Exit57¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 26LossUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit76¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 26LossBitcoin price on Aug 26, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry67%Entry → Exit31¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 26LossBitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry83%Entry → Exit54¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 25LossBitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry61%Entry → Exit36¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 25LossWill CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit70¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 25LossBitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry65%Entry → Exit46¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 25LossEthereum price at Aug 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry69%Entry → Exit40¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 25LossWill Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry66%Entry → Exit52¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 25LossBitcoin price on Aug 25, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry93%Entry → Exit64¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 25LossBitcoin price on Aug 25, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit54¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 25LossBitcoin price on Aug 25, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry68%Entry → Exit43¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 25LossBitcoin price on Aug 25, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry81%Entry → Exit29¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 25LossBitcoin price on Aug 25, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry59%Entry → Exit21¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 25LossBitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry83%Entry → Exit65¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 25LossBitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit51¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 25LossBitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry69%Entry → Exit41¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 25LossBitcoin price on Aug 28, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry55%Entry → Exit32¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 25LossEthereum price at Aug 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry85%Entry → Exit70¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 25LossEthereum price at Aug 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry63%Entry → Exit26¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 24LossWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry55%Entry → Exit40¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 21LossWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit83¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 20LossWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit72¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 13LossUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry67%Entry → Exit56¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 10LossWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit68¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 10LossWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry74%Entry → Exit59¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 5LossWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry58%Entry → Exit28¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 1LossWill Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry62%Entry → Exit32¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 31LossWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry78%Entry → Exit62¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 30LossWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry96%Entry → Exit83¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 22LossUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry54%Entry → Exit38¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 20LossUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit54¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 19LossWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit57¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 17LossWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry59%Entry → Exit18¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 17LossUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry69%Entry → Exit48¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 17LossWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry62%Entry → Exit49¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 17LossUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit66¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 17LossUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit78¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 16LossWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry65%Entry → Exit42¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 14LossWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry74%Entry → Exit36¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 14LossWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry72%Entry → Exit60¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 14LossWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit62¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 13LossWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry53%Entry → Exit32¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 12LossWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry66%Entry → Exit28¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 12LossWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry95%Entry → Exit76¢→0¢Paper return−100%
